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General Negative Case

» Second Negative
» Counter Plan

 

  First Negative:

I.   The affirmative plan would increase spending on needs that matter less at the expense of needs that matter more.

An important principle of public finance is that we should invest government funds in areas that promise the greatest return. This is a fancy way of saying that we should make sure that in spending money we are getting the biggest bang for our buck.

It is not enough for the affirmative to point to a need. They must explain why this need is more important than other needs. Or to return to the investment paradigm, they should show that meeting the need they point to will give us a bigger social payoff than all other uses of those same dollars.

  • Is expansion of public sector mental health sources the best use of scarce federal dollars?
  • Is it the best use of our health care dollars?
  • Is it the best use of public health dollars?

Let's answer those questions in reverse order.

A.  Public Health Priorities

There are more important public health needs than mental illness.

1.  Since September 11th, improving the public health system has become a matter of national security. Currently, only a small portion of the public health service's budget is allocated to the acquisition and stockpiling of vaccinations. As a result, there aren't enough vaccines. If terrorists struck tomorrow using smallpox as their weapon, more than 300,000 people would probably die. The remedy to this problem is to increase the country's preparedness for such an attack. To protect against this and other biological/chemical warfare threats we need to use more of the public health service's resources. (See "Smallpox Scenarios," Wall Street Journal, July 10, 2002 and Where Would Health and Other Functions Fit Into Homeland Security? )

2.  In addition to homeland security, there are other public health investments that compete with services for the mentally ill. These include:

  • The AIDS epidemic. There are currently about a million Americans with AIDS, and that number increases by 40,000 each year. AIDS is the fifth leading cause of death for young Americans. To slow the spread of this disease, increasingly larger public outlays will be required to take advantage of newer, more effective drug therapies.
  • Public immunization. Vaccinations are needed to prevent a wide range of deadly and infectious diseases, including Polio, Measles, Meningitis, Hepatitis B, Whooping Cough, Rubella, Chickenpox, Diphtheria, Tetanus and Mumps. (See What Would Happen If We Stopped Vaccinations?)
  • Maternal and infant health. These public health programs are provided through the Center for Disease Control and include projects for teen pregnancy, infant survival, dangerous pregnancy assessments and women's reproductive health at both the federal and state levels. .)
  • Preparation for natural disasters. The federal and state governments maintain public health programs to provide resources in the event of hurricanes, floods and natural disease outbreaks.

It is not obvious that these unmet needs are less important than mental health care.

B.  Health Spending Priorities.

1.  Studies show that there are ways to spend money on health care that produces benefits greater than the costs. (See Tammy Tengs, "Five Hundred Life Saving Interventions and Their Cost-Effectiveness".) For example:

  • For every dollar the medical community spends on giving smoking cessation advice to people who smoke, society as a whole gets back more than a dollar in reduced costs for treating heart disease, cancer and other illnesses.
  • Similarly, the money we spend on immunizing children against communicable diseases more than pays for itself in terms of social benefits.
  • The same is true of prenatal care for pregnant mothers "at risk."

There are also examples in the field of mental health of treatments that pay for themselves, but they are special cases such as detoxification for heroin addicts, or giving Methadone to heroin addicts. As a rule, an enormous amount of money is simply wasted in the mental health field.

2.  If we have to rank unmet needs in terms of payoff for society as a whole, the mentally ill have some serious competitors. For example:

  • Why are the needs of the mentally ill more important than the 300,000 people who will likely die in a small pox attack?
  • Why are they more important than the 40,000 people who will get AIDS this year?
  • Why are they more important than the 20 percent of pre-school age children who fail to get vaccinations?
  • Why are they more important than the 46,000 about-to-be-born babies whose mothers receive no prenatal care or the 103,000 whose mothers do not start prenatal care until the third trimester?
  • Why are they more important than the 760,000 babies who are born to mothers who smoke and need smoking cessation counseling?

C.  Federal Budget Priorities.

America spends more on health care than any country in the world. We are spending $4,358 every year for every man, woman and child in the country. That's $17,432 for a family for four in a country where median family income is only $60,000.

What are we getting in return for all this spending? A lot. But it's not clear what we are getting at the margin (for the last $1,000 we spent). As with other goods and services, there are diminishing returns in health care. And although we spend more on health care than other countries, our life expectancy is about the same and our infant mortality rate is actually higher.

Is $17,432 per family enough? Should it be $18,000 or $19,000? Most health economists don't think we are spending too little. And the affirmative has not made the case that we can't live within the budget we already have.

II.  The Affirmative Approach to the Problem Uses the Wrong Agency

Even if there is a valid need, the public health service is the wrong vehicle to meet that need for five reasons:

A.  It's wasteful.

Some of the government's most wasteful and inefficient agencies are in the public health service - the very institutions that the affirmative is trying to expand:

  • The U.S. Public Health Service's Commissioned Corps - a 6,000-member force of doctors, nurses, dietitians and veterinarians - is supposed to be called upon in the event of emergencies. The General Accounting Office has found that the Corps, which has repeatedly refused to perform its official task, could easily be scrapped at a savings of $130 million a year to taxpayers (See The Public Health Service.)
  • The National Institute of Mental Health, the federal agency charged with conducting research into mental illness, routinely wastes large amounts of money on studies that have nothing to do with mental illness. One recent NIMH project, for example, studied aggression in bluebirds. In 1997, only 36 percent of the agency's research money went to studies of mental illnesses, while at least 15 percent of its funds went to diseases that are the responsibilities of other federal agencies - including $60 million on AIDS (See Curious Agenda of Mental Health Agency.)
  • The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have wasted millions of dollars on research that was never conducted. In the worst case, the CDC accepted $22.7 million in Congressional funds to study chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) - over half of which was either misspent on unrelated projects or entirely misplaced (See Funds Allocated To Study Non-Disease Disappear.)

B.  It has the wrong focus.

The public health service was designed for population-based medicine, such as tracking and preventing infectious diseases. It was not designed to diagnose and cure the illness of individuals. Further, these two approaches to medicine are largely incompatible. Precisely because it is population-oriented, the public health service:

1.  Assumes the preferences of individual patients and their families are unimportant;

2.  Assumes the preferences of individual doctors are unimportant;

3.  Disregards the importance of the doctor-patient relationship; and

4.  Prevents doctors from acting as agents of their patients.

All of this makes sense if the primary objective is to prevent the spread, say, of syphilis.

However, mental illness is a highly individualistic illness and is certainly not contagious. Even within diagnostic categories (e.g. depression) the problem and the response to therapies can differ radically from patient to patient. The treatment of mental illness, therefore, requires an individual patient orientation. Further, successful therapy is likely to depend on healthy doctor-patient relationships.

C.  It's political.

(coming soon!)

D.  It's dangerous.

The public health service is seeking broad powers to suspend individual rights in times of emergency. Sixteen states and the District of Columbia have passed all or parts of the law. (See Many States Reject Bioterrorism Law.) The State Emergency Health Powers Act - a model law developed for the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention - was designed to give state health officials the right to enforce quarantines, vaccinate people, seize and destroy property without compensation and ration medial supplies, food and fuel in a public-health emergency. These "emergency powers," go far beyond bioterrorism, allowing unelected state officials to force treatment or vaccination of citizens against the advice of their doctors.

Given the broad range of powers the public health service is already beginning to acquire, it would be dangerous to give this very same agency the power to declare people mentally ill.

When the communists were in power in the Soviet Union, the KGB was the secret police organization that spied on, captured and tortured enemies of the state. The KGB also had the power to declare people mentally ill, to incarcerate them in mental institutions and force them to take mind altering drugs.

Clearly, this is not the American way.

E.  It's often wrong.

If "public health service" is defined broadly to include the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and other agencies that report to the Secretary of Health and Human Service, there are numerous examples of the pitfalls of concentrating power in one highly political agency.

1.  Swine Flu vaccine. In spite of its concentration on population-based medicine, the public health service has a poor track record of anticipating and responding appropriately to disease outbreaks - the very sort of thing it should handle best. In the late 1970s the Center for Disease Control predicted that an epidemic of Asian swine flu would hit the country and instigated a massive influenza-immunization program, vaccinating around 40 million people at a cost of millions of tax dollars. No virus materialized, however, and the massive immunization backfired, causing a paralytic disorder (Guillain-Barre syndrome) in 100,000 people - 5,000 of whom died as a result. and CDC, .)

2.  Dietary advice. For 25 years the government told us that the way to avoid being fat is to avoid eating fat and to eat a diet high in carbohydrates instead. The CDC even refused to fund any research project that questioned this view. Now that research results are pouring in from around the world, it appears that not only was the government's advice completely wrong, it may be partly responsible for an epidemic of obesity that has affected the U.S. population over the past twenty years.

III. The affirmative approach would encourage fragmentation in the delivery of health services, rather than integration.

The affirmative approach is to expand mental health services in isolation of other health services. They would have patients go to a public entity for mental health needs and (presumably) to other places for other health needs - rather than getting all their health needs met by a single, integrated health plan. This approach would further fragment a system that is already too fragmented.

A.  Mental and physical illnesses are often connected. Numerous studies have demonstrated that people who experience physical illnesses are more likely to suffer from mental disorders, and vice versa. For example:

  • According to the University of Maryland School of Medicine, more than half of all patients admitted to general hospitals with serious psychiatric illnesses have concurrent physical medical problems.
  • Clinically significant depression affects 45% of heart attack victims, 15% of diabetics, half of all cancer victims, and 25% of those with chronic illness.
  • The strongest predictors of general hospitalization and physician visits among patients with chronic medical illness are depression and psychological stress.
  • Depression increases the likelihood of developing coronary heart disease and increases the likelihood that a heart attack will be fatal.
  • About 30% of HIV-infected patients have depression, and there is strong evidence that depression hastens the transition from HIV to AIDS.
  • A psychiatric condition is the first sign of sickness in 10% of HIV cases.

(For a list of studies on the connection between mental and physical disorders, see . Also, see Behavioral Health Is an Integral Part of Overall Health and Surgeon General's Report: Mind and Body Inseparable.

B.  Lack of integration in diagnosis and treatment leads to inferior care and more costly care. A very important Yale University study found that for one group of employees: (See p. 11, The Economic Costs Of Mental Illness and Benefits of Treatment.)

  • When the employer raised deductibles and copayments and introduced managed care restrictions, there was a 38% drop in the costs of mental health care.
  • However, this reduction was almost completely offset by a 37% increase in non-mental health care costs. (There was also a 22% increase in sick days by mental health users.)
  • This implies that mental health and physical health services are a lot closer substitutes than most people realize.
  • It also implies that it can be a big mistake to make decisions in one area of medicine while ignoring what's happen in the other area.
  • Another study showed that 83 percent of people referred by clinics and social workers for psychiatric treatment had undiagnosed physical illnesses; 42 percent of those diagnosed with "psychoses" were later found to be suffering from a physical illness.

(Think of holding two health plans: Plan A in your right hand and Plan B in your left. You control A, but you don't control B, and you cannot observe what's happening there. Every time you do something to control costs by limiting access in A, you cause people to go get care in B. And every time you do something to improve access in A, you cause people to move from B to A. But since you can't see what's happening in B, you don't know what the overall effects of your actions are. Every time you think you are controlling costs because of something you do in A, the costs of both plans combined may actually be rising. And every time you think you are improving access because of something you are doing in A, you may actually be reducing access for both plans combined. This is a classic case of the right hand not knowing what the left hand is doing! The lesson: if you want an efficient health care system, the entity that controls access to one type of care must be the same entity that controls access to the other kind of care.)

The problem with our current, fragmented approach is that too many decisions are being in isolation of each other. The affirmative approach would make things worse.

C.  Lack of integration in delivery causes a waste of resources. Currently, mental health services are delivered through nine federal agencies and 577 different projects in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. These programs often overlap, duplicate efforts and waste resources.

IV. The affirmative approach would encourage public provision rather than private provision.

Another important principle of public finance is: We should not encourage people to obtain services at taxpayer expense that they can reasonably pay for from their own resources. The reason is:

  • When public provision is merely substituting for private provision, we are increasing taxpayer burdens (and discouraging work, productivity and economic growth) without accomplishing any overall objective.
  • Public provision is almost always less efficient and usually of lower quality as well.

A.  Substituting public for private provision.

Virtually every expansion of a government health insurance in recent years has come at the expense of private health insurance:

  • The expansion of State Children's Health Insurance Programs (federally subsidized programs for children) followed the same pattern: more children in the public program came largely at the expense of fewer children with private insurance, even as the number of uninsured children continued to rise. (See Recent Trends in Children's Health Insurance)
  • What's worse, the private insurance that was replaced tended to be family-friendly, with all members of the same family in the same health plan. By contrast, public programs can result in every member of a family in a different plan, e.g., a mother in Medicaid, a child in S-CHIP and a father in an employer plan.
  • A number of scholars believe that the reason why private insurance placed caps on catastrophic coverage for mental health care was the existence of public health facilities that provided care for free. In other words, private coverage for mental health was small because public coverage was large. (See Surgeon General's Report, Ch. 6, Financing and Managing Mental Health Care.)

B.  Consequences of Public Expansion.

Throughout the developed world, wherever we look in health care, private provision tends to be more efficient and often of better quality than public provision. (See Twenty Myths About Single-Payer Health Insurance) This is also true within our own country. For example:

  • The Department of Veterans Affairs is notoriously inefficient and wasteful, especially when it comes to spending. According to the General Accounting Office, the VA paid an estimated $9 billion for fraudulent death and disability claims in a single year (1998) - nearly 20 percent of its budget. (See GAO Report Censures Agencies For Waste.)

Medicaid is just as inefficient. A 1993 investigative report of the Illinois Medicaid system by the Chicago Tribune found:

  • Four Medicaid patients who had more than 300 visits in one year - that's almost one doctor visit every day.
  • In a single day, one patient saw five doctors, made seven visits to a pharmacy and had 22 prescriptions filled with 663 pills.

As noted above, many of the nation's public health agencies are also poorly managed and wasteful.

Given the track record so far, why would we want to further expand the public health care sector? Almost everywhere else, the collective judgment is that we need to take more advantage of the private sector, not less. For example:

  • More than half the Medicaid patients in the country are now enrolled in private HMOs.
  • In Medicare, more than 6 million seniors have joined private sector HMOs.

V.  The affirmative approach would encourage therapies of dubious value without any reliable, ongoing mechanism to verify their value.

A.  An overriding characteristic of mental health care is that there are often no objective standards, either for diagnosis or for treatment. As a result, this is a field where it is often very difficult to verify what we are getting for the enormous amount of money we are spending. For example:

1.  Uncertain Cure: Talk Therapy

  • Although a large number of mental health providers are Freudians, a recent survey of the scientific literature concluded there is no evidence that (Freudian) psychoanalysis does any good. (See "The Place of Psychoanalytic Treatments Within Psychiatry," Archives of General Psychiatry, June 2002.)
  • Numerous studies have found that patients on their own improve just as well as patients in therapy; other studies have found that mental health professionals are no more effective than nonprofessionals (such as school counselors) with only minimal skills. (See: Ethan Watters and Richard Ofshe, Therapy's Delusions.)
  • In some studies, patients in therapy actually do worse than patients who go without it. (See Tana Dineen, Manufacturing Victims, Ch.3)
  • Based on a review of more than 500 scholarly studies, Carnegie-Mellon University professor Robyn Dawes, concludes there is overwhelming evidence that:
     

    (1) The therapists credentials - Ph.D., M.D., or other training - are completely unrelated to the effectiveness of therapy;

    (2) The type of therapy is generally unrelated to its effectiveness; and

    (3) The length of therapy is unrelated to its success.

    In other words, credentials don't matter, the type of therapy doesn't matter and the length of therapy doesn't matter. All that matters is the ability to be empathetic and a few other easily learned skills. (See: Robyn Dawes, House of Cards: Psychology and Psychotherapy Built on Myth.)

  • According to Dawes' review of the literature, mental health professionals are also notoriously bad at predicting behavior. For example, they are no better than ordinary intelligent people and significantly worse than simple statistical models at predicting: whether a person will become violent; whether a criminal will be a recidivist; and whether a child has been sexually abused.
  • Psychologist Tana Dineen says the members of her profession are becoming increasingly less scientific and more focused on maximizing their incomes. "Feelings of unhappiness, boredom, anger, sadness and guilt can now all be interpreted as signs of prior trauma" by the skillful therapist, she writes. (See Manufacturing Victims, p.20)

2.  Uncertain Cure: Anti-depressant Drugs

Although drugs that treat mental illness can be very expensive, one study of nine common antidepressants found that the drugs work no better in treating depression, on the average, than a cheap placebo. (See the soon to be published study by Dr. Arif Khan, Northwest Clinical Research Center.)

3.  Uncertain Cure: Treatment for Substance Abuse

A study conducted at the Stanford University of Medicine found that patients in Alcoholics Anonymous and Narcotics Anonymous - who receive services for free - were significantly less likely to relapse into alcoholism than patients in professional, high-priced programs. Even though the "professional" program was less effective, it cost $4,729 more per patient per year than AA. Other studies have reached similar conclusions. (See Keith Humphreys, Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research, May 2001, .)

4.  Uncertain Cure: The Handbooks of Mental Health Disorders

The American Psychiatric Association (APA) publishes the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-IV). Yet there is no objective biological test to identify a mental disorder - not even schizophrenia. The decision about whether a set of behavior patterns qualifies as a disorder also is subjective. When the number of disorders described in the DSM more than Tripled between 1952 and 1994, critics charged it represented a desire to expand the clientele and incomes of mental health professionals.

B.  One of the reasons why there is so much waste and abuse of the system is that in comparison to physical illness, both doctors and patients have far more discretion:

1.  Providers have enormous discretion precisely because of the lack of objective standards.

2.  Patients have enormous discretion because (1) mental illness is usually experienced subjectively and (2) patient cooperation is almost always very important for successful therapy. Discretion on the part of patients is reflected in studies that show the demand for mental health services is four times more sensitive to price than the demand for health care generally. (See Mental Health Economics, p. 24.)

C.  The existence of so much discretion on both sides of the market gives rise to two kinds of abuse:

On the patient side of the market, the condition of having incentives to waste other people's money is called the problem of "moral hazard." It is a problem that is inherent in all third-party insurance - where individuals are able to draw resources from a common pool. For example, suppose a patient has a choice between two equally effective therapies. If someone else is paying the bill, the patient has no reason not to choose the more expensive option.

On the other side of the market, provider incentives to waste resources is called "rent seeking". Precisely because information is imperfect and monitoring is imperfect, providers find they can enhance their incomes by providing services that are of little or no value. A common observation in the mental health field is that the number of visits that it takes to "cure" a patient often miraculously equals the maximum number of visits allowed under the patient's insurance plan. Similarly, the number of days in a hospital or other institution needed to "cure" a patient often miraculously equals the maximum allowed by insurance. Providers tend to provide as long as insurance pays. But once the insurance stops paying, the services stop.

D.  To appreciate the outcome of these incentives, consider what a poor job the mental health system as a whole does in getting help to those who need it most:

  • Only about one-fourth of people with a diagnosable mental health problem actually get treatment in any given year.
  • Of that number, only 17 percent get some treatment in the health care sector itself, with the rest receiving treatment from a non-medical source.
  • At the same time, 38 percent of all mental health patients, representing 28 percent of all treatment visits are by people who do not have a diagnosable mental disorder.

(See Mental Health Economics, p.10.)

VI.  As an alternative to the affirmative approach the negative will present a counter plan which better meets the needs of the mentally ill.

The negative will propose a counter plan that will:

  • Spend no more on health care than what we are now spending, but will reform the way those dollars are spent.
  • Encourage patients to receive care in the context of integrated, comprehensive health care plans.
  • Rely primarily on the efficiencies and entrepreneurial strengths of the private sector.
  • Subject questionable therapies to monitoring by patients and their families and to the discipline of the competitive marketplace.

As a result of these reforms, virtually all patients, including the mentally ill, will have more health care and better health care at no additional expense.

 
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